Data & Quality

Markets · Valuation

A valuation with a countercase.

Choose a model that fits the business, then compare bear, base and bull estimates against a dated, sourced market price. You can load existing company financials, but missing figures are not invented and sources are not independently verified.

Transparent inputs

Set the evidence and assumptions

This reuses existing company data where available. It will not guess missing figures, and you must review the loaded values and source before calculating.

Cash-flow inputs

Use annual unlevered free cash flow from a source you can inspect. Keep cash flow, cash and debt in the same absolute currency units, not mixed thousands, millions or billions. Shares must be individual shares, not millions.

Model suitability check

This is a suitability gate, not a formality. Ordinary-company DCF is limited to established non-financial businesses with positive, representative free cash flow. DDM is limited to mature dividend payers with sustainable payouts. Other business types need different models, which this workspace does not yet provide.

Scenario assumptions

Growth rates are annual free-cash-flow growth for five years. Use a discount rate that reflects business and country risk. Terminal growth must be below the discount rate.

Deterministic model

Bear, base and bull valuation

No valuation calculated yet

Enter sourced inputs and assumptions, then calculate. The page intentionally starts empty instead of showing illustrative values as if they were real market data.

Local data backup

Keep your valuation history portable.

Export or restore saved valuation snapshots at any time, even before calculating a new model in this session. These JSON backups include valuation assumptions and source links, not portfolio holdings. Portfolio holdings use the separate CSV/XLSX backup controls in My Portfolio.

Import validates the file, is limited to 2 MB, and asks before replacing saved history.

Method and limitations

What this model can and cannot say

  • Projects five years of unlevered free cash flow, discounts cash flows and terminal value, adds cash, subtracts debt and divides by shares outstanding.
  • It is unsuitable for banks, insurers, early-stage businesses, REITs and firms with negative or structurally volatile free cash flow.
  • It does not independently verify the source, accounting basis, share count, currency, dilution, minority interests or latest price.
  • It does not yet adjust for non-operating assets, leases, pension deficits, preferred shares, minority interests, cyclicality or country-specific discount-rate calibration.
  • A model output is not a target price or a buy/sell instruction. Review assumptions and contrary evidence before drawing a conclusion.

Next step

Put the result in context.